NZD/USD dives to fresh weekly lows, around 0.6965 area

  • NZD/USD witnessed some heavy selling on Thursday and dropped to fresh weekly lows.
  • COVID-19 jitters, hawkish FOMC meeting minutes pushed the USD to three-month tops.
  • The risk-off mood contributed to the bearish pressure around the perceived riskier kiwi.

The NZD/USD pair continued losing ground through the early European session and dropped to fresh weekly lows, around the 0.6965 region in the last hour.

The NZD/USD pair witnessed heavy selling on Thursday and retreated further from near three-week tops, or levels just above the 0.7100 mark touched earlier this week. The sharp intraday decline was sponsored by a modest US dollar strength and a sharp deterioration in the global risk sentiment, which tends to dent demand for the perceived riskier kiwi.

The USD held steady near three-month tops and was underpinned by the FOMC minutes, which indicated that the Fed is moving towards tightening its monetary policy as soon as this year. Fed officials agreed that they must be ready to act if inflation or other risks materialize, suggesting that QE tapering discussions could begin in the coming months.

The USD bulls seemed rather unaffected by the ongoing decline in the US Treasury bond yields, instead took cues from the prevalent risk-off environment. Investors remain worried about the spread of the highly contagious Delta variant of the coronavirus. This was evident from a sharp fall in the equity markets, which further benefitted the greenback's safe-haven status.

It will now be interesting to see if bearish traders can maintain their dominant position or the NZD/USD pair is able to attract some buying at lower levels. The markets have started pricing in the prospects for an interest rate hike by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) in November. This should act as a tailwind for the NZD/USD pair and help limit deeper losses.

Nevertheless, the pair has now moved well within the striking distance of last week's lows around the 0.6945 region. This is followed by YTD through near the 0.6925 area, which if broken will be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders and set the stage for the resumption of the NZD/USD pair's recent downward trajectory witnessed over the past one month or so.

Market participants now look forward to the US Initial Weekly Jobless Claims data, due for release later during the early North American session. This, along with the broader market risk sentiment, will influence the USD price dynamics and allow traders to grab some short-term opportunities around the NZD/USD pair.

Technical levels to watch

NZD/USD witnessed some heavy selling on Thursday and dropped to fresh weekly lows.
COVID-19 jitters, hawkish FOMC meeting minutes pushed the USD to three-month tops.
The risk-off mood contributed to the bearish pressure around the perceived riskier kiwi.

The NZD/USD pair continued losing ground through the early European session and dropped to fresh weekly lows, around the 0.6965 region in the last hour.

The NZD/USD pair witnessed heavy selling on Thursday and retreated further from near three-week tops, or levels just above the 0.7100 mark touched earlier this week. The sharp intraday decline was sponsored by a modest US dollar strength and a sharp deterioration in the global risk sentiment, which tends to dent demand for the perceived riskier kiwi.

The USD held steady near three-month tops and was underpinned by the FOMC minutes, which indicated that the Fed is moving towards tightening its monetary policy as soon as this year. Fed officials agreed that they must be ready to act if inflation or other risks materialize, suggesting that QE tapering discussions could begin in the coming months.

The USD bulls seemed rather unaffected by the ongoing decline in the US Treasury bond yields, instead took cues from the prevalent risk-off environment. Investors remain worried about the spread of the highly contagious Delta variant of the coronavirus. This was evident from a sharp fall in the equity markets, which further benefitted the greenback's safe-haven status.

It will now be interesting to see if bearish traders can maintain their dominant position or the NZD/USD pair is able to attract some buying at lower levels. The markets have started pricing in the prospects for an interest rate hike by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) in November. This should act as a tailwind for the NZD/USD pair and help limit deeper losses.

Nevertheless, the pair has now moved well within the striking distance of last week's lows around the 0.6945 region. This is followed by YTD through near the 0.6925 area, which if broken will be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders and set the stage for the resumption of the NZD/USD pair's recent downward trajectory witnessed over the past one month or so.

Market participants now look forward to the US Initial Weekly Jobless Claims data, due for release later during the early North American session. This, along with the broader market risk sentiment, will influence the USD price dynamics and allow traders to grab some short-term opportunities around the NZD/USD pair.

Technical levels to watch

NZD/USD

Overview
Today last price 0.6974
Today Daily Change -0.0046
Today Daily Change % -0.66
Today daily open 0.702

 

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